Nice vs Valenciennes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27%
24.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2008 |
AUX
0 - 1
NIC
50%
27%
23%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
NIC
2 - 1
ASN
44%
29%
27%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
LHA
1 - 0
NIC
38%
29%
34%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2008 |
NIC
3 - 1
CAE
41%
26%
33%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
VAL
1 - 2
NIC
42%
29%
29%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
VAL
3 - 1
LOR
45%
28%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
CAE
3 - 1
VAL
50%
25%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
VAL
1 - 0
ASS
35%
29%
36%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2008 |
TFC
2 - 1
VAL
42%
28%
30%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
VAL
1 - 2
NIC
42%
29%
29%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |