Nice vs Valenciennes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
27.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
LYO
0 - 0
NIC
74%
17%
9%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
NIC
1 - 1
GIR
36%
29%
35%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
MON
1 - 1
NIC
59%
24%
17%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
NIC
2 - 1
PSG
41%
30%
30%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
LIL
1 - 1
NIC
52%
27%
21%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
VAL
3 - 0
AUX
32%
29%
40%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
ASN
0 - 0
VAL
51%
25%
24%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2007 |
VAL
3 - 0
REN
36%
30%
34%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
STR
0 - 0
VAL
43%
26%
31%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
VAL
3 - 0
CAE
39%
28%
34%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | +1 |