Nice vs Strasbourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.6%
29%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
29.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2006 |
GIR
1 - 0
NIC
56%
25%
19%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
NIC
1 - 0
ASN
47%
28%
25%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
AUX
2 - 0
NIC
59%
24%
17%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2006 |
NIC
0 - 0
LEN
36%
29%
35%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
MAR
1 - 0
NIC
55%
25%
20%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Strasbourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2006 |
STR
2 - 2
LIL
37%
29%
34%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
ASS
0 - 2
STR
43%
28%
29%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2006 |
STR
2 - 2
BAS
37%
26%
37%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
STR
1 - 2
LMU
54%
25%
21%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2006 |
BAS
2 - 0
STR
66%
20%
14%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |