Nice vs Sporting Toulon Var analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.3%
15.2%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1997 |
KIL
1 - 1
NIC
36%
26%
38%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1997 |
NIO
4 - 2
NIC
36%
29%
35%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 1997 |
CAE
0 - 0
NIC
57%
24%
19%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1997 |
NIC
3 - 1
KIL
58%
23%
19%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 1997 |
NIC
1 - 0
ESW
74%
18%
8%
|
72 | 49 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Toulon Var
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1997 |
SPO
0 - 0
SOC
50%
26%
24%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1997 |
SPO
1 - 1
NIO
54%
26%
21%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1997 |
STL
1 - 1
SPO
54%
26%
21%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1997 |
SPO
2 - 1
CAE
37%
28%
36%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 1997 |
ESW
1 - 1
SPO
31%
27%
42%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | -1 |