Nice vs Sporting Toulon Var analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
24.1%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 1986 |
REN
2 - 0
NIC
57%
24%
20%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1986 |
NIC
0 - 0
NAN
29%
28%
43%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1986 |
SOC
2 - 0
NIC
68%
19%
12%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 1986 |
NIC
1 - 0
MON
33%
28%
39%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 1986 |
PSG
3 - 2
NIC
78%
15%
8%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Toulon Var
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 1986 |
SPO
1 - 0
ASN
49%
26%
25%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1986 |
AUX
0 - 0
SPO
60%
23%
17%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1986 |
SPO
2 - 3
BRE
55%
25%
20%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1986 |
MAR
2 - 3
SPO
59%
22%
19%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1986 |
SPO
3 - 0
STL
49%
28%
23%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |