Nice vs Sochaux analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17%
28%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
45.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
LIL
1 - 0
NIC
50%
27%
24%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2004 |
NIC
1 - 1
BAS
41%
28%
31%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
NIC
1 - 1
MAR
31%
30%
39%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
GIR
5 - 1
NIC
62%
22%
15%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2004 |
NIC
0 - 1
LYO
19%
26%
55%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Sochaux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2004 |
SOC
4 - 0
STB
62%
21%
17%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
SOC
2 - 0
MAR
53%
25%
22%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
GIR
2 - 0
SOC
48%
26%
26%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
SOC
1 - 2
AUX
48%
26%
26%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
LYO
1 - 1
SOC
61%
22%
17%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |