Nice vs Nîmes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.5%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
13.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1976 |
GIR
1 - 0
NIC
50%
25%
26%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1976 |
LIL
0 - 3
NIC
46%
26%
29%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 1976 |
NIC
2 - 1
MAR
53%
23%
25%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1976 |
PSG
0 - 0
NIC
49%
25%
26%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1976 |
NIC
1 - 1
ASS
46%
25%
29%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Nîmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1976 |
NÎM
0 - 1
MAR
44%
25%
31%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1976 |
PSG
2 - 0
NÎM
53%
25%
22%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 1976 |
NÎM
1 - 0
ASA
68%
20%
12%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1976 |
NÎM
3 - 2
MET
56%
24%
20%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 1976 |
REI
2 - 0
NÎM
61%
22%
17%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | -1 |