Nice vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.1%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.1%
11.8%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2017 |
LIL
1 - 2
NIC
38%
28%
35%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
NIC
2 - 1
GIR
40%
26%
34%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
NAN
1 - 1
NIC
32%
27%
40%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2017 |
NIC
2 - 2
CAE
66%
21%
14%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
DIJ
0 - 1
NIC
27%
27%
46%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
ASN
3 - 0
REN
33%
27%
40%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2017 |
GUI
1 - 0
ASN
55%
25%
20%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
ASN
2 - 3
LOR
40%
26%
34%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
ASN
1 - 2
LIL
35%
29%
36%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
PSG
1 - 0
ASN
84%
12%
4%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | 0 |