Nice vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
20.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
LIL
0 - 2
NIC
68%
19%
13%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
NIC
5 - 0
VAL
46%
26%
28%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
MET
2 - 3
NIC
24%
25%
51%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
LYO
3 - 0
NIC
71%
18%
11%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
NIC
3 - 2
ETG
49%
26%
25%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
TFC
2 - 1
ASN
47%
28%
25%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
ASN
2 - 2
LIL
23%
26%
51%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
DRO
1 - 5
ASN
7%
15%
78%
|
78 | 37 | 41 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
BAS
4 - 2
ASN
39%
26%
35%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
ASN
1 - 1
GIR
23%
25%
52%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |