Nice vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.2%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
27.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
AUX
0 - 0
NIC
60%
23%
17%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
NIC
2 - 2
SED
54%
26%
21%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
ASS
2 - 1
NIC
49%
27%
24%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
NIC
0 - 0
SOC
37%
28%
35%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2006 |
MON
0 - 0
NIC
61%
23%
16%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
ASN
1 - 3
LIL
34%
30%
36%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2006 |
ASN
3 - 0
FEY
25%
25%
50%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
VAL
1 - 0
ASN
33%
30%
38%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2006 |
BAS
2 - 2
ASN
64%
21%
15%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
ASN
1 - 0
TRO
54%
25%
21%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | +1 |