Nice vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
22.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
NIC
2 - 1
REN
36%
29%
35%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
LYO
2 - 1
NIC
71%
19%
10%
|
84 | 91 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2006 |
NIC
3 - 1
STR
42%
29%
29%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2006 |
GIR
1 - 0
NIC
56%
25%
19%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
NIC
1 - 0
ASN
47%
28%
25%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
MAR
6 - 0
ASN
63%
23%
15%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
ASN
0 - 0
LIL
28%
30%
42%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2006 |
LMU
0 - 0
ASN
47%
27%
25%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2006 |
ASN
0 - 0
NAN
35%
29%
36%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
NIC
1 - 0
ASN
47%
28%
25%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | -1 |