Nice vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
24.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
AUX
2 - 0
NIC
59%
24%
17%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2006 |
NIC
0 - 0
LEN
36%
29%
35%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
MAR
1 - 0
NIC
55%
25%
20%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2006 |
NIC
2 - 0
MON
25%
28%
47%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2006 |
ASS
0 - 1
NIC
42%
29%
30%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
ASN
1 - 1
PSG
32%
30%
38%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2006 |
MET
0 - 0
ASN
44%
28%
28%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2006 |
TFC
1 - 1
ASN
46%
28%
27%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
ASN
0 - 3
SOC
34%
28%
38%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2006 |
TRO
0 - 1
ASN
42%
27%
31%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |