Nice vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.3%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
19%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
18.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1955 |
RAC
4 - 2
NIC
49%
22%
30%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1955 |
NIC
2 - 0
TRO
82%
10%
7%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 1955 |
MON
4 - 2
NIC
36%
22%
42%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 1955 |
ASS
3 - 3
NIC
48%
22%
31%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1955 |
NIC
2 - 0
GIR
55%
20%
24%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1955 |
ASN
3 - 1
STR
57%
21%
22%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1955 |
ASS
1 - 1
ASN
58%
21%
22%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1955 |
SOC
0 - 0
ASN
61%
19%
20%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 1955 |
ASN
3 - 1
LIL
50%
23%
28%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1955 |
ASN
1 - 4
REI
36%
24%
40%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |