Nice vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.1%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.7%
19.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 1949 |
RAC
1 - 1
NIC
72%
15%
13%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1949 |
NIC
4 - 2
RCR
55%
21%
25%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 1949 |
MAR
2 - 2
NIC
82%
11%
7%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1949 |
NIC
0 - 0
MPL
62%
18%
20%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1949 |
CAN
1 - 2
NIC
54%
21%
26%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 1949 |
ASN
1 - 2
REN
39%
23%
38%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1949 |
SOC
3 - 2
ASN
69%
16%
15%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 1949 |
COL
0 - 2
ASN
47%
21%
32%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 1949 |
ASN
3 - 1
RAC
31%
22%
47%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 1949 |
RCR
3 - 1
ASN
65%
17%
18%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |