Nice vs Metz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.2%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
18.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
CLE
1 - 2
NIC
25%
25%
50%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
NIC
0 - 1
MPL
46%
26%
29%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
ANG
1 - 2
NIC
32%
26%
43%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2021 |
NIC
1 - 1
MAR
38%
26%
36%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
NIC
3 - 2
LYO
20%
21%
59%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
MET
3 - 3
GIR
38%
27%
35%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2021 |
MET
2 - 1
KAI
55%
22%
23%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
MAR
0 - 0
MET
65%
21%
14%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
MET
1 - 1
ASS
37%
27%
36%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
LEN
4 - 1
MET
53%
25%
22%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |