Nice vs Metz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.9%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.1%
17%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2019 |
ASS
4 - 1
NIC
35%
27%
38%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
NIC
3 - 1
ANG
50%
26%
24%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
LYO
2 - 1
NIC
57%
22%
21%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2019 |
NIC
1 - 1
GIR
48%
27%
25%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
NIC
2 - 0
REI
40%
27%
33%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2019 |
MET
0 - 1
REN
33%
26%
41%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
NÎM
1 - 1
MET
55%
24%
21%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
MET
1 - 1
REI
29%
26%
44%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2019 |
MET
1 - 2
SED
71%
18%
11%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
LIL
0 - 0
MET
67%
21%
12%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | +1 |