Nice vs Metz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.6%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
28.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
PSG
0 - 0
NIC
65%
21%
14%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2003 |
NIC
2 - 0
BAS
33%
29%
38%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2003 |
LYO
5 - 0
NIC
72%
18%
10%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2003 |
AJA
2 - 2
NIC
38%
29%
33%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
NIC
0 - 0
GIR
26%
28%
46%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2003 |
MET
0 - 2
AUX
36%
29%
35%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2003 |
LMU
2 - 0
MET
32%
28%
40%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2003 |
MET
0 - 1
SOC
39%
28%
33%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2003 |
MET
3 - 0
GUI
45%
26%
29%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
STR
0 - 2
MET
53%
25%
22%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |