Nice vs Metz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.6%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
24.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1990 |
LIL
1 - 1
NIC
61%
23%
16%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1990 |
TFC
0 - 1
NIC
60%
24%
16%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 1990 |
NIC
1 - 2
NAN
47%
27%
26%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 1989 |
MAR
3 - 0
NIC
78%
15%
7%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1989 |
NIC
1 - 0
LYO
55%
24%
21%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1990 |
MET
3 - 0
TFC
49%
26%
25%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1990 |
NAN
0 - 0
MET
49%
28%
23%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1990 |
MET
1 - 1
FCM
65%
21%
14%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1989 |
LYO
0 - 0
MET
55%
23%
22%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1989 |
MET
3 - 2
MAR
34%
30%
36%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |