Nice vs Metz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.6%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
14.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1954 |
RCR
4 - 2
NIC
42%
24%
35%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1954 |
NIC
7 - 3
LYO
77%
13%
10%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1954 |
LHA
2 - 2
NIC
41%
24%
35%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1954 |
NIC
4 - 3
STR
67%
18%
15%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1954 |
NIC
0 - 1
MET
68%
18%
15%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1954 |
MET
1 - 0
GIR
33%
23%
44%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1954 |
TRO
0 - 1
MET
56%
21%
24%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 May. 1954 |
MET
3 - 2
MAR
49%
23%
28%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1954 |
RCR
3 - 0
MET
53%
23%
24%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1954 |
NIC
0 - 1
MET
68%
18%
15%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |