Nice vs Metz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.6%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
14.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1954 |
SOC
4 - 1
NIC
54%
22%
25%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1954 |
NIC
1 - 1
REI
46%
23%
32%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1954 |
NIC
1 - 2
MON
66%
17%
17%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 1954 |
NIC
2 - 4
MAR
64%
19%
17%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1954 |
SÈT
1 - 1
NIC
31%
24%
44%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1954 |
MET
1 - 1
LEN
50%
23%
27%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1954 |
MET
2 - 1
LHA
51%
22%
27%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 1954 |
SÈT
4 - 1
MET
44%
25%
31%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 1954 |
NÎM
2 - 1
MET
63%
20%
17%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1954 |
MET
1 - 0
SFP
60%
21%
19%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |