Nice vs Lorient analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
22.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
1º
13º
5º
26
7º
18º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 61 |
3º
|
82.5% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 59 |
4º
|
82.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
54 | 54 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 53 |
6º
|
26% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 53 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 50 |
8º
|
69% | |
|
9º
|
46 | 49 |
9º
|
57% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 44 |
10º
|
45% | |
|
10º
|
44 | 44 |
11º
|
32.5% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 41 |
12º
|
85.5% | |
|
13º
|
39 | 39 |
13º
|
89.5% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
86% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
86% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 29 |
16º
|
66.5% | |
|
|
17º
|
26 | 27 |
17º
|
33.5% | |
|
18º
|
25 | 26 |
18º
|
67% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 33.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 66.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
REI
0 - 0
NIC
36%
27%
37%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
NIC
1 - 2
NAN
59%
24%
17%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
LEN
1 - 3
NIC
55%
24%
21%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2024 |
PSG
3 - 1
NIC
75%
16%
9%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
NIC
1 - 2
MPL
50%
25%
25%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
MPL
2 - 0
LOR
54%
23%
24%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
LOR
0 - 1
BRE
34%
27%
39%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
MON
2 - 2
LOR
67%
19%
14%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
LOR
0 - 2
LYO
28%
24%
48%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
REN
1 - 2
LOR
70%
18%
13%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | +1 |