Nice vs Lorient analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
20.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2016 |
KRA
5 - 2
NIC
59%
22%
19%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
ASN
0 - 1
NIC
24%
26%
50%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
NIC
4 - 0
MON
36%
26%
38%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
MPL
1 - 1
NIC
39%
26%
35%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2016 |
NIC
0 - 1
S04
32%
25%
44%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
LOR
1 - 0
LYO
22%
24%
55%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
GUI
1 - 0
LOR
45%
25%
31%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
LOR
1 - 0
LIL
35%
28%
38%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
LOR
0 - 2
ASN
56%
25%
19%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 0
LOR
54%
24%
22%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |