Nice vs Lorient analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
27.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
ASS
1 - 1
NIC
55%
23%
22%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2014 |
NIC
0 - 1
PSG
14%
22%
64%
|
82 | 91 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
GIR
1 - 1
NIC
46%
26%
29%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
NIC
2 - 0
BAS
50%
26%
24%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2014 |
MAR
0 - 1
NIC
55%
23%
22%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
LOR
1 - 1
ETG
50%
26%
24%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
REI
1 - 1
LOR
41%
26%
33%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2014 |
LOR
0 - 1
PSG
15%
21%
64%
|
80 | 91 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
SOC
2 - 0
LOR
32%
27%
41%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
LOR
1 - 0
ASS
36%
27%
38%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | +1 |