Nice vs Lorient analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
29.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
BRE
0 - 2
NIC
32%
27%
41%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
NIC
0 - 1
GIR
33%
26%
41%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
NIC
2 - 2
ASN
55%
24%
20%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
LIL
0 - 2
NIC
68%
19%
13%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
NIC
5 - 0
VAL
46%
26%
28%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
LOR
2 - 2
REN
38%
26%
36%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
ASN
2 - 1
LOR
32%
26%
42%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2013 |
SED
0 - 1
LOR
21%
23%
55%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
LOR
3 - 2
TRO
63%
23%
15%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
MPL
2 - 0
LOR
50%
24%
25%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | -1 |