Nice vs Lorient analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.1%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
11%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.5%
20.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
MET
1 - 2
NIC
40%
29%
31%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
NIC
0 - 0
LMU
42%
27%
31%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
ASS
0 - 0
NIC
48%
28%
24%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
NIC
1 - 2
AUX
39%
28%
34%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
LEN
0 - 0
NIC
60%
24%
17%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2008 |
LOR
0 - 1
MET
47%
27%
26%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
LOR
1 - 1
AUX
30%
28%
42%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
CAE
0 - 0
LOR
50%
26%
24%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
LOR
0 - 0
ASN
38%
29%
33%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
REN
2 - 0
LOR
60%
23%
18%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |