Nice vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
38%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2020 |
LEV
6 - 2
NIC
64%
20%
16%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
ASS
1 - 3
NIC
36%
26%
38%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
NIC
2 - 1
NAN
60%
23%
17%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
GIR
0 - 0
NIC
31%
26%
43%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
NIC
0 - 3
PSG
13%
17%
70%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2020 |
SPA
1 - 4
LIL
55%
23%
22%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
LIL
4 - 0
LEN
64%
22%
14%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
STR
0 - 3
LIL
29%
26%
45%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2020 |
LIL
2 - 0
NAN
65%
22%
13%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
MAR
1 - 1
LIL
41%
26%
33%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |