Nice vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
35.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2019 |
MON
3 - 1
NIC
33%
26%
42%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
NIC
2 - 1
DIJ
61%
23%
16%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
MPL
2 - 1
NIC
41%
26%
34%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
REN
1 - 2
NIC
45%
25%
30%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2019 |
NIC
1 - 2
MAR
41%
25%
34%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2019 |
LIL
2 - 0
STR
59%
23%
18%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
REN
1 - 1
LIL
42%
26%
32%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2019 |
AJA
3 - 0
LIL
74%
16%
10%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2019 |
LIL
2 - 1
ANG
63%
22%
15%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
REI
2 - 0
LIL
33%
27%
40%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | -1 |