Nice vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
27%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
45.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
NAN
2 - 1
NIC
34%
28%
39%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
NIC
1 - 0
MET
53%
27%
21%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2014 |
MAR
4 - 0
NIC
57%
23%
20%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
NIC
1 - 3
GIR
36%
28%
37%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
LOR
0 - 0
NIC
45%
25%
29%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
LIL
0 - 0
MPL
57%
23%
20%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2014 |
LIL
1 - 1
KRA
48%
25%
27%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
LIL
2 - 0
NAN
68%
20%
12%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
MON
1 - 1
LIL
40%
26%
34%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2014 |
FCP
2 - 0
LIL
51%
25%
24%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |