Nice vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.4%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
45.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
NIC
3 - 2
MON
39%
29%
32%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
MPL
1 - 1
NIC
48%
27%
26%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
NIC
2 - 2
LYO
18%
24%
59%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
TFC
1 - 1
NIC
43%
29%
28%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
NIC
1 - 0
AUX
36%
28%
36%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
LIL
1 - 1
GIR
51%
23%
25%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
MON
1 - 0
LIL
26%
27%
47%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
LIL
3 - 1
CAE
71%
18%
11%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
BRE
1 - 2
LIL
20%
25%
55%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
LIL
2 - 1
VAL
70%
19%
11%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |