Nice vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
45.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
MON
3 - 2
NIC
56%
25%
19%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2010 |
NIC
0 - 1
AUX
42%
28%
31%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
MPL
1 - 0
NIC
41%
28%
31%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
PLA
2 - 1
NIC
13%
23%
64%
|
81 | 50 | 31 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2009 |
NIC
2 - 2
USB
62%
23%
15%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
LIL
1 - 0
LEN
67%
20%
14%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2010 |
MAR
2 - 1
LIL
55%
24%
22%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
COL
0 - 0
LIL
4%
15%
81%
|
88 | 54 | 34 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2010 |
SOC
2 - 1
LIL
28%
27%
45%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
LIL
3 - 1
PSG
60%
23%
18%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |