Nice vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.8%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
16.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1980 |
ASN
3 - 2
NIC
62%
21%
17%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1980 |
NIC
1 - 1
PSG
53%
23%
24%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 1980 |
NIC
1 - 1
GIR
56%
23%
20%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 1980 |
TOU
1 - 0
NIC
42%
26%
32%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 1980 |
NIC
0 - 0
NÎM
66%
20%
15%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1980 |
LIL
0 - 1
MET
58%
23%
20%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1980 |
NAN
4 - 1
LIL
78%
15%
8%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 1980 |
LIL
2 - 1
LEN
53%
24%
23%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 1980 |
ASS
3 - 1
LIL
77%
14%
9%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1980 |
LIL
1 - 2
VAL
61%
22%
18%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |