Nice vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.3%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
28.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1955 |
MAR
2 - 0
NIC
47%
22%
32%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1955 |
NIC
5 - 1
TRO
76%
14%
11%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 1955 |
NIC
4 - 0
SOC
53%
21%
26%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1955 |
ASS
4 - 2
NIC
49%
22%
30%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1955 |
LEN
2 - 2
NIC
51%
22%
28%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1955 |
LIL
0 - 0
SOC
60%
20%
21%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1955 |
LYO
2 - 1
LIL
32%
23%
45%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1955 |
LIL
0 - 0
STR
65%
18%
17%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1955 |
LIL
1 - 1
TFC
66%
18%
16%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1955 |
MET
0 - 0
LIL
39%
25%
36%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |