Nice vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.1%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.2%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
40.1%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1949 |
REI
6 - 1
NIC
77%
14%
10%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1949 |
NIC
1 - 0
ASS
38%
21%
40%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 1949 |
SÈT
3 - 2
NIC
50%
22%
29%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 1949 |
COL
1 - 2
NIC
40%
22%
38%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 1949 |
NIC
8 - 0
REN
43%
22%
35%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1949 |
LIL
3 - 0
REN
70%
16%
14%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1949 |
SOC
1 - 3
LIL
41%
22%
37%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1949 |
LIL
4 - 0
ASN
76%
14%
11%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1949 |
RAC
4 - 3
LIL
43%
22%
35%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1949 |
LIL
6 - 2
RCR
74%
15%
11%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |