Nice vs Lens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.5%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
14.7%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2020 |
NIC
3 - 2
REN
46%
26%
29%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2020 |
RBS
4 - 1
NIC
73%
16%
11%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2020 |
DAC
0 - 6
NIC
34%
26%
40%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2020 |
SDL
1 - 2
NIC
41%
26%
33%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2020 |
NIC
0 - 2
GLA
31%
26%
44%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2020 |
LEN
1 - 3
UNI
34%
26%
40%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2020 |
LEN
1 - 2
PFC
60%
23%
17%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2020 |
GNK
1 - 1
LEN
66%
20%
14%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2020 |
LEN
1 - 1
GEN
21%
23%
55%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2020 |
LEN
1 - 3
LHA
49%
26%
26%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |