Nice vs Lens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.4%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
10%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
22.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2015 |
ASS
5 - 0
NIC
53%
25%
22%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
NIC
1 - 1
CAE
48%
26%
26%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
REN
2 - 1
NIC
47%
26%
27%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
NIC
1 - 3
PSG
17%
23%
60%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
REI
0 - 1
NIC
35%
26%
39%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2015 |
LEN
0 - 1
MPL
23%
26%
51%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
LIL
3 - 1
LEN
60%
24%
16%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
LEN
0 - 3
MON
21%
26%
53%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
MET
3 - 1
LEN
43%
26%
31%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
LEN
0 - 0
LOR
28%
26%
46%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |