Nice vs Lens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.5%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
34.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
MAR
1 - 0
NIC
55%
25%
20%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2006 |
NIC
2 - 0
MON
25%
28%
47%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2006 |
ASS
0 - 1
NIC
42%
29%
30%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2006 |
LMU
2 - 0
NIC
38%
29%
33%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2006 |
MON
0 - 1
NIC
69%
20%
11%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
LEN
1 - 0
AJA
67%
21%
13%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2006 |
LEN
1 - 0
UDI
48%
25%
27%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2006 |
REN
4 - 1
LEN
45%
26%
28%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2006 |
UDI
3 - 0
LEN
49%
27%
24%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2006 |
LEN
1 - 1
LYO
32%
26%
42%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | 0 |