Nice vs Lens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
21.2%
29%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
35.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2004 |
NIC
1 - 1
LEN
38%
30%
32%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2004 |
ASS
2 - 1
NIC
41%
27%
32%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
NIC
0 - 0
IST
62%
24%
14%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
STR
3 - 1
NIC
47%
26%
27%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
NIC
1 - 0
TFC
48%
28%
24%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2004 |
NIC
1 - 1
LEN
38%
30%
32%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2004 |
LEN
0 - 1
LYO
25%
26%
49%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
GIR
1 - 1
LEN
57%
24%
19%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
LEN
0 - 0
MAR
46%
27%
27%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
AUX
3 - 0
LEN
56%
25%
20%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |