Nice vs Le Havre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
17.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2009 |
ARR
1 - 3
NIC
10%
22%
68%
|
84 | 38 | 46 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
TFC
2 - 2
NIC
39%
30%
31%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
NIC
0 - 1
LIL
42%
29%
28%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2008 |
NIC
0 - 0
GRE
63%
22%
15%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
MAR
2 - 1
NIC
65%
21%
14%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Le Havre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2009 |
LHA
0 - 1
TFC
37%
28%
35%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2009 |
UJA
0 - 2
LHA
13%
19%
68%
|
75 | 45 | 30 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
LIL
3 - 1
LHA
63%
22%
15%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
LHA
1 - 3
LOR
41%
28%
32%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
ASS
2 - 0
LHA
55%
25%
20%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | -1 |