Nice vs Guingamp analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.4%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
12%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
15.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
NIC
1 - 1
ASS
52%
25%
23%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2018 |
NIC
0 - 0
ANG
60%
23%
17%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
GUI
0 - 0
NIC
23%
25%
52%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
NIC
2 - 0
LIL
50%
25%
25%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
NÎM
0 - 1
NIC
27%
26%
48%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
GUI
1 - 2
AMI
48%
26%
26%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2018 |
DIJ
2 - 1
GUI
40%
26%
35%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
GUI
0 - 0
NIC
23%
25%
52%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
REI
2 - 1
GUI
47%
26%
27%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
GUI
2 - 4
LYO
15%
20%
65%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | -1 |