Nice vs Guingamp analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.4%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
24.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2017 |
BAS
1 - 1
NIC
30%
28%
43%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
NIC
0 - 0
MET
71%
19%
10%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
LOR
2 - 1
NIC
33%
27%
40%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2016 |
GIR
0 - 0
NIC
43%
25%
32%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
NIC
2 - 1
DIJ
66%
21%
14%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
GUI
1 - 1
REN
45%
26%
29%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
LOR
3 - 1
GUI
41%
27%
32%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2017 |
GIR
3 - 2
GUI
52%
25%
23%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
GUI
2 - 1
LHA
68%
20%
12%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2016 |
MET
2 - 2
GUI
28%
27%
46%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | -1 |