Nice vs Guingamp analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.2%
25.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
BAS
2 - 1
NIC
45%
26%
29%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
MPL
2 - 1
NIC
47%
26%
27%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2015 |
NIC
0 - 1
MON
35%
28%
37%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
LIL
0 - 0
NIC
43%
27%
31%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
NIC
0 - 0
NAN
49%
27%
24%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
GUI
0 - 1
LIL
40%
26%
34%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2015 |
CON
1 - 2
GUI
12%
21%
67%
|
79 | 53 | 26 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
NAN
1 - 0
GUI
46%
27%
27%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2015 |
DYN
3 - 1
GUI
66%
20%
14%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
GUI
0 - 2
MPL
40%
26%
33%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |