Nice vs Guingamp analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
34.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2003 |
NIC
1 - 0
MET
47%
28%
25%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2003 |
TFC
1 - 1
NIC
37%
28%
36%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
NIC
2 - 1
MPL
40%
28%
33%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2003 |
NIC
1 - 1
MET
43%
29%
29%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
PSG
0 - 0
NIC
65%
21%
14%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2003 |
GUI
1 - 1
NAN
36%
27%
37%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
LMU
2 - 0
GUI
29%
25%
46%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2003 |
GUI
2 - 0
AJA
63%
22%
15%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
LEN
2 - 1
GUI
57%
23%
21%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2003 |
GUI
1 - 2
SOC
38%
27%
35%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |