Nice vs Guingamp analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.9%
30.4%
Draw
0-0
13%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.4%
38.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 1999 |
AMI
4 - 1
NIC
53%
26%
21%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1999 |
NIC
0 - 0
LIL
37%
30%
33%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 1999 |
SOC
2 - 1
NIC
68%
20%
12%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 1999 |
NIC
1 - 1
FCG
40%
28%
32%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1999 |
CHA
0 - 0
NIC
55%
25%
20%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 1999 |
GUI
1 - 0
NÎM
54%
26%
20%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1999 |
STL
0 - 2
GUI
37%
29%
34%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 1999 |
GUI
0 - 2
LUS
51%
27%
22%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 1999 |
GUI
2 - 3
AMI
58%
26%
16%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 May. 1999 |
GUI
0 - 2
LIL
52%
28%
20%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | -1 |