Nice vs FC Gueugnon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
33.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2001 |
ESW
1 - 1
NIC
47%
26%
27%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2001 |
NIC
3 - 1
AJA
40%
28%
32%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2001 |
LMU
1 - 0
NIC
47%
27%
26%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2001 |
NIC
4 - 1
GRE
40%
27%
34%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2001 |
LUS
0 - 2
NIC
48%
27%
25%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
FC Gueugnon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2001 |
FCG
1 - 1
LHA
41%
28%
32%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2001 |
FCM
2 - 0
FCG
31%
27%
41%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2001 |
AJA
1 - 1
FCG
42%
27%
31%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2001 |
FCG
2 - 1
AMI
47%
26%
27%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2001 |
GRE
0 - 0
FCG
45%
26%
30%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |