Nice vs FC Gueugnon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.7%
29%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
39.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2000 |
MPL
3 - 0
NIC
71%
19%
10%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2000 |
NIC
2 - 2
SOC
24%
28%
48%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2000 |
CAN
2 - 1
NIC
39%
29%
33%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2000 |
NIC
2 - 0
ANG
49%
28%
23%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2000 |
LMU
1 - 0
NIC
49%
27%
24%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
FC Gueugnon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2000 |
FCG
2 - 1
ESW
61%
23%
15%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2000 |
ASN
4 - 0
FCG
55%
25%
21%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2000 |
LHA
1 - 3
FCG
54%
26%
20%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2000 |
FCG
1 - 1
LOR
48%
26%
26%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2000 |
SOC
3 - 0
FCG
61%
23%
16%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |