Nice vs FC Gueugnon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.3%
29.4%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.4%
35.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1999 |
LIL
2 - 0
NIC
65%
21%
14%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1999 |
NIC
3 - 0
RED
44%
28%
28%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 1999 |
NÎM
0 - 1
NIC
58%
24%
18%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 1999 |
NIC
0 - 0
TRO
28%
30%
41%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1999 |
NIO
1 - 0
NIC
57%
25%
18%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
FC Gueugnon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1999 |
FCG
4 - 1
ASS
39%
28%
33%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1999 |
STL
1 - 1
FCG
49%
26%
24%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1999 |
FCG
0 - 1
LIL
50%
27%
24%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 1999 |
AMI
1 - 0
FCG
45%
27%
28%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1999 |
FCG
1 - 1
NIO
51%
27%
22%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |