Nice vs Niort analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
38.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2001 |
ASB
1 - 0
NIC
51%
26%
24%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2001 |
NIC
2 - 0
NÎM
39%
28%
33%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2001 |
STR
3 - 0
NIC
77%
16%
8%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2001 |
NIC
2 - 1
STL
43%
28%
28%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2001 |
LHA
1 - 0
NIC
65%
21%
13%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Niort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2001 |
NIO
2 - 0
IST
66%
21%
14%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2001 |
STL
1 - 3
NIO
38%
28%
34%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2001 |
NIO
2 - 2
LHA
46%
26%
28%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2001 |
FCM
1 - 1
NIO
36%
28%
36%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2001 |
ANG
2 - 0
NIO
31%
28%
41%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | -2 |