Nice vs Niort analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.3%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
12.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
24.4%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1999 |
ESW
2 - 2
NIC
43%
29%
29%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1999 |
NIC
2 - 0
TFC
32%
30%
38%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 1999 |
CSL
0 - 0
NIC
47%
28%
24%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1999 |
NIC
0 - 0
CHA
43%
30%
27%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1999 |
AJA
1 - 0
NIC
54%
25%
21%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Niort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1999 |
NIO
0 - 1
NÎM
41%
28%
31%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1999 |
STL
3 - 1
NIO
48%
28%
24%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 1999 |
NIO
3 - 3
GUI
31%
30%
39%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1999 |
AMI
0 - 0
NIO
59%
24%
18%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1999 |
NIO
0 - 3
LIL
33%
30%
36%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | -1 |