Nice vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
24.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
NIC
1 - 1
MPL
37%
28%
35%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
MON
0 - 1
NIC
55%
23%
22%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
NIC
1 - 0
LIL
27%
27%
46%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
NAN
2 - 1
NIC
34%
28%
39%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
NIC
1 - 0
MET
53%
27%
21%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
BAS
0 - 2
LOR
35%
27%
39%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
LIL
1 - 0
BAS
63%
21%
15%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
BAS
0 - 0
NAN
45%
27%
28%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
MET
3 - 1
BAS
37%
27%
36%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
BAS
1 - 1
LEN
50%
25%
25%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |