Nice vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.1%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
24%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2014 |
MAR
0 - 1
NIC
55%
23%
22%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
NIC
0 - 2
TFC
46%
27%
27%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
GUI
1 - 0
NIC
30%
26%
44%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
NIC
0 - 0
NAN
55%
26%
20%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2014 |
NIC
0 - 1
MON
42%
27%
31%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
BAS
0 - 3
PSG
12%
20%
69%
|
76 | 91 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
LOR
1 - 1
BAS
54%
24%
23%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
BAS
0 - 2
ASS
31%
27%
42%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
BAS
0 - 2
MON
34%
27%
39%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2014 |
TFC
1 - 3
BAS
48%
26%
25%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | +1 |